キリマンジャロと温暖化

フランスの科学者がＡｌｌｅｇｒｅ氏がキリマンジャロと温暖化の関係を否定する記事を書いている。http://epw.senate.gov/fact.cfm?party=rep&id=264835　この科学者はフランスの社会党で活発に活動する元公務員。100以上の科学的記事を書いている。本も10冊以上。 また幾つかの科学に関する賞状ももらっている：

 

Allegre has authored more than 100 scientific articles, written 11 books and received numerous scientific awards including the Goldschmidt Medal from the Geochemical Society of the United States.

 

1992年にＡｌｌｅｇｒｅ氏は人間が環境に及ぼす危機についての宣言に署名した1500人の科学者の一人だ。http://homepages.ihug.co.nz/~sai/sciwarn.html　Ａｌｌｅｇｒｅ氏は政治的にも科学的にも”保守思想”といえる人ではない。

 

フランスの雑誌のサイトにキリマンジャロに関する記事を投稿した。http://www.lexpress.fr/idees/tribunes/dossier/allegre/dossier.asp?ida=451670この記事の英訳が下記だ。

During the same fortnight, we have seen Yann Arthus-Bertrand’s stunning photographs showing the vanishing ice cap of Mount Kilimanjaro, and we have immediately heard the same old story about global warming and read in Science magazine an important paper co-authored by several distinguished glaciologists which showed that glacier mass balance in Antarctica has not changed during the past thirty years[1]. There is a general consensus among specialists on one point: if widespread global warming occurs, it will be experienced more intensely near the poles than at the equator. Yet, these authors explain that we can observe a massive retreat of glacial ice in some places on the Antarctic continent while there is also a thickening of ice sheets in other places.

温暖化がほんとうなら、その影響は北極・南極で見られるはず。赤道に近いところではその影響は見られないはずだ。

So, the question that arises is whether there is climate warming or not? The argument that builds upon the retreating white cap of Kilimanjaro seems implacable. The retreating white cap is observable, tangible. Indeed, but things are not as straightforward as they seem. The gradual retreat of the snows of Kilimanjaro is often imputed to local phenomena, the main one of these being desertification in East Africa. In a recent issue of Science magazine, French researchers have shown that this desertification was in a large measure due to tectonic activities responsible for the gradual uplift of the African continent, thereby inducing a reorganization of atmospheric circulation. Greenhouse effect plays no significant role in these processes.

キリマンジャロの氷河が溶けているのは地表の上昇と東アフリカの乾燥化だ。

Following the month of August experienced by the northern half of France, the prophets of doom of global warming will have a lot on their plate in order to make our fellow countrymen swallow their certitudes. In all likelihood, there is a climate change, but the latter is characterized more by sudden shifts, both in space and time (the heat wave or the “rotten summer”, just like the violent tornadoes or the increased frequency of floods, are examples of these) than by global warming. The cause of this climate change is unknown. Is it man? Is it nature?

今年の8月に起きた北フランスの暖かい気候を温暖化の責任とする温暖化論の人達。理由がわからないくせに何でも人間の責任とする。

Glaciers’ chronicles or historical archives point to the fact that climate is a capricious phenomena. This fact is confirmed by mathematical meteorological theories. So, let us be cautious. But the exposure of man’s responsibility as regards global warming allows us to sit idly by (the effect of the measures advocated will be felt only in half a century!). On the other hand, the crusade against extreme theories can be led with tangible results! However, as this is not fashionable, we choose to remain passive. In the meanwhile, the ecology of helpless protesting has become a very lucrative business for some people!

気候とは変動するものだ。これは気候学で確認していることだ。かってに半世紀の気候の変動で温暖化と騒ぎ立てるのはおかしい。その騒ぎで金儲けを行う人が多すぎる。

最後のコメントは社会党員ならでは！！

金儲けをしているのはゴア氏？？

ＭｉｋｅＲｏｓｓＴｋｙ